August 11, 2025 – The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season intensified today with the formation of Tropical Storm Erin in the eastern Atlantic, the fifth named storm in what is predicted to be an above-normal season. The U.S. National Hurricane Center reported that Erin developed approximately 280 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde islands and is moving westward at 20 mph with sustained winds of 45 mph. Forecasters are monitoring the system closely, as it has the potential to become the first hurricane of the season as it tracks toward the Caribbean islands later this week.
The season, which officially runs from June 1 to November 30, has already proven to be active. Before Erin, the Atlantic saw the formation of Tropical Storms Andrea, Barry, Chantal, and Dexter. The season has also already been deadly. On july 6, Tropical Storm Chantal made landfall in South Carolina and caused significant flooding in central North Carolina, resulting in one confirmed fatality.
This year's activity is in line with stark warnings from forecasters. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has predicted an 85% chance of an above-normal season, forecasting a range of 13 to 19 named storms. Of those, NOAA expects 6 to 10 to become hurricanes, with 3 to 5 strengthening into major hurricanes of category 3 strength or higher. Similarly, researchers at Colorado State University have independently forecast 17 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes for the 2025 season.
As Tropical Storm Erin continues its journey westward, early models suggest it could encounter conditions favorable for rapid strengthening. There is a growing possibility that it will develop into a major hurricane by the time it approaches the Caribbean, posing a significant threat to the islands in its path.
In light of the dire forecasts and the active start to the season, emergency officials are urging residents in all hurricane-prone regions to finalize their preparedness plans. Key recommendations include securing loose outdoor items, protecting windows, safeguarding important documents in waterproof containers, and assembling comprehensive emergency kits. These kits should contain essential supplies such as water, nonperishable food, flashlights, batteries, medications, and any necessary supplies for pets.